Friday, April 30, 2010
MADRID 2010 FINALS: The Fink Tank Index previews an exciting world of football prediction
Using complex statistics, they look back at two years of goals scored by respective teams as well as their shots on goal, then weight them in such a way that the more recent results count more heavily. Football teams are then ranked according to their performance and can be compared against each other. In the ranking for the Champions league final on May 22nd, Inter Milan is rated ahead of Bayern Munich with a 39.6% chance of winning compared to Bayern’s 34%. Significantly, there is a sizable 26.4% chance for a stalemate. Drama is in the air!
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Jose Mourinho and Loius Van Gaal: Can football separate a Siamese twin?
Right now I am in a huge mess. I am left bare with only my pure analytic skills, fluid at best, to fall on in predicting the winner between Bayern Munich and Inter Milan, two teams that has shown an uncanny ability to bring out the best with their backs against the wall. In Louis Van Gaal and Jose Mourinho, we have two coaches that have seen success at this level and as such unlikely to be overwhelmed by the magnitude of the occasion. They are also quite hungry to prove a point or two to their respective boards, one having started the season badly, while the other has publicly aired his desire to leave.
For those of us expecting any football on the 22nd of next month, we are in for a disappointing 90 minutes. While Jose is generally considered as negative in his style, putting victory, at all cost, above every other thing, Van Gal is presently not far off. He came into prominence with an Ajax team that played a breath taking attacking football, mesmerizing the likes of Real Madrid even at the Bernabeu in the mid nineties. Interestingly, Louis has shed a lot of his beautiful play, settling for efficiency laced with negative antics. So both coaches can come up with the kind of tactics to nullify any taint of decent play, Inter Milan is perhaps ahead of Bayern Munich based on a pound for pound profile of individual football players but surely this match may offer a glimpse into the future of football, where game fullness is striped off and replaced with all manner of tricks and con tactics. Welcome to Mourinho’s world.
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
A perfect match for Jose Mourinho at Nou Camp
He is indeed a perfect game reader, an ability he now has a perfect opportunity to exhibit in front of the Nou Camp faithfuls, with the added bonus of dismissing his global skeptics who have been praying fervently for a Messi revival. This game is a perfect challenge for the special one. With the contest tilted in Inter favor at 3 – 1 from the first leg, Jose is ready once more to startle everyone with his tactics and team selection. At Stanford Bridge Inter showed a glimpse of the true tactician in the Portuguese when he started with 4-4-2 formation, attacking in every sense with Millito and Eto’o at the forefront. A formation that was surprisingly similar to that of Ancelotti. Only a Mourinho could start a match of that texture with such an offensive line up of soccer players and one which was thoroughly unwilling, even for a moment, to hold on to a slender one goal advantage, buoyed by their own capacity to score away from home.
I foresee an Inter team going all out to get away goals because Mourinho would want to accept the fact that Barcelona can score goals, good goals, especially at home. The key factor would then be how many goals each side can produce which I guess favours the Italians. Such an open game is bound to frighten Guardiola because just one away goal means Barcelona most score three against an Inter side good defensively to take the match beyond regulation time. What a mouth watering prospect.
Monday, April 26, 2010
The game of soccer without referees
Nowadays, when your precious football team is on the turf enacting the beautiful game, your heart aches in anticipation of the next "big decision" by the referee that could turn a victory into an instant sticky pie. Even when your team is hoist for barbecue, it could quickly become a baking spree, especially if you were Stoke City. Salomon Kalou's two footed challenge on Sorensen for the Mahican's second goal on Sunday, anywhere else on the soccer pitch would have been an instant red card, but the resulting goal stood while the bemused keeper suffered a dislocated shoulder, which may exempt him from a trip to the beautiful South Africa. No Hakuna Matata|
In my parlance, maybe miniature in its cognitive reach compared to the global opinion bank, I am terminally disappointed in this taint that is clouding the game of football. Precisely, I have come to the bitter conclusion that the referees should go the way of the Dinosaurs like T-Rex, extinct! There should be a computer program out there integrated into a Sony or LG video technology by a Whizkid that can render a fair and interactive feel enabled to disable this weekly dose of heart aches. Come on guys, we can it or maybe just carry a placard with the inscription "Football Without Referees"
Sunday, April 25, 2010
Blue or Red: Barclay’s battle of the primary colors
Tilt is the right word because the pundits are stuttering, faced with the most mazy of contest. I started the season with Chelsea as my favourite, at the moment, to be sincere, only pride and mathematical possibility straps me to my earlier prediction, because Manchester United are damn hot, dispatching the highly rated Tottenham with relative ease. Chelsea’s title hopes now hang thinly on solid performance at Anfield next week. Ancelotti and his mob are in for a torrid time which should decide the title. And Liverpool has been given a huge tonic by the floundering pair of Tottenham and Manchester City who both dropped points at the weekend.
Remove the inconsistent officiating and the devastating reel of injuries, this season by far has been the best for a long time with the top English soccer team providing dramatic turns that has kept everyone thrilled and guessing. Who wins the battle of the primary colors? Blue or Red? The battle unfolds.
Saturday, April 24, 2010
Clash of the Titans
While the stare of Medusa zaps through the turf, Ancelotti's consolation is rather predictable and probably the case for most coaches. "Stress is the engine of life for me. You have to cope with the pressure, the stress. There are some fantastic films at out the moment, so we will watch a film. Maybe Clash of the Titans." he said in an interview today. But his other, "We are not worried about playing after Manchester United this weekend" is misleading if there is any element of truth because he should be worried. Manchester United appear to have settled into a devastating form and their showing against Tottenham should be an appropriate reminder of the huge task ahead because as things stand, Chelsea's key game is at An-field next week.
Tottenham may have beaten London rivals, Arsenal and Chelsea, but in United, my gut feeling is that the bridge is just too far, but they are still better placed to clinch the 4h spot with City's inconsistent turns. The nature of the twists yet to unfold is anyone's imagination
Thursday, April 22, 2010
Portsmouth previews the the future of the beautiful game
The FA and the Premier league has taken a decision that suit them perfectly because letting the team that ends up in 7th place to represent England in the Europa cup, creates adequate room for both Liverpool and Everton to jostle for these places. But the mess at Portsmouth highlights the recklessness that underlie club finances in modern football with greedy penchant for buying and selling costly players at will. These huge salaries and bonuses are hardly redeemed by the players' performance on the pitch. Sadly these practices are often done with borrowed money laced with high interest rates that benefits those whose primary interest is remote from the beautiful game.
It is true that the bigger teams appear to be immune at the moment, but in the coming months and years it is almost a physiological certainty that more of the big clubs are bound to be exposed to the damaging effects of unchecked expenses. We are entering a period where the survival of clubs is no longer based on tradition or value but on the whims and caprices of the money men.
Football referees face extinction for the good of the game
In Charles Robert Darwin’s milieu of natural selection, the fittest is endowed with a survival advantage which is rendered to their progenies preserving species that are increasingly competent in the act of survival, while weak links are severed off. The referees in modern football are easily the weak links, illustrated clearly by the increasing number of omissions and outright gaffes, some bitterly costly like Thierry Henry’s handball in last year’s crucial FIFA 2010 world cup qualifier in Paris. The present disparity in the physical abilities between referees and professional players is perhaps the widest the game has ever seen. Unaided, the men in black are poised for extinction, if football is to preserve its sense of fairness. Twenty players slugging it out on their own is approaching a more attractive alternative, because it is simply unfair to have a seemingly unbiased arbitrator who in critical instances promotes unfair decisions.
From the inception of professional football, referees have been disadvantaged, but this has become more obvious and costly due to the rapid increase in the fitness of professional players who have enjoyed beneficial inputs from the scientific environment in nutrition and training techniques. It cannot be overstated that the physical effort put in by referees is comparable to that of the players as they cover on the average a distance of approximately 10 km, but significantly they are 15 – 20 years older and naturally cannot be substituted in a game, except in rare instances. The faster pace of the game coupled with highly prevalent antics employed by players to con referees puts a damaging strain on their cognitive and decision making abilities throughout the duration of the match. You have probably observed the lines man missing an offside position because he is struggling to keep pace with the players’ movements.
Since the referee’s role is centred round making decisions, credible ones that endear the game to everyone as a competitive sport that is fair and which enhance the flow and feel of the beautiful game, there is an urgent need to address the inherent shortcomings in football officiating. There appears to be an evolutionary pressure, age related though, which cannot be bridged by encouraging younger referees, as they are still classed as semi-professionals worldwide. A decent option would be for the referees to cover the same distance they already do, but have a broader view of the unfolding game. This is achievable by introducing video technology, which is perhaps more urgent than is general accepted in the corridors of football’s power houses. A repeat of Henry’s handball antics at the world cup would invariably elicit an endearing feeling of an orchestrated bias by the football governing bodies in favour of pre-determined choices. This suggestion has been on for ages, but denying the use of a technology that enhances fairness only accentuates the discontent.
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Play football for fun and fitness: The facts
Football has a dynamics that exercises the body like no other sport. Its seamless blend of sprinting, acceleration, deceleration and jumping creates a mechanical windmill that drives a steam of changes in the body’s physiological systems. The End result is improved function of the heart, stronger bones and muscles, better posture and balance as well as a reduction in fat levels.
FACTS
ONE | BLOOD PRESSURE - Studies have demonstrated that after “twelve weeks of regular recreational football training of 2 – 3 times a week for 1 hour lead to lowered BLOOD PRESSURE [resting systolic and Diastolic blood pressure of 8 and 5 mmHg]”.
TWO | METABOLIC FITNESS
Fat metabolism is affected in manner that benefits us. “After twelve weeks of football training, the fat mass was lowered by 2.7Kg, reduced LDL and raised HDL”. HDL is the good cholesterol and higher levels are preferred. Incredible, but perhaps understated in the past! Shout is loud.
THREE| MUSCULO-SKELETAL FITNESS
There is an increase in muscle fibre area and these important piece of our frame exchange signals efficiently. The large number of forceful accelerations and rapid decelerations performed during football training is thought to provide a high-force stimulus to the muscle fibres.
FOUR | BONE MASS CONTENT AND BONE MASS DENSITY (MINERALIZATION)
Football training provides a good deal of stimulus for bone to trap Calcium because it is a highly intermittent sport, and the activity pattern in small-sided games is characterized by multiple turns, jump, several short sprints with accelerations and decelerations which is about right for your bones.
Just LACE your boots 4 FUN & FITNESS
Sunday, April 18, 2010
Is Liverpool really worth over half a billion pounds?
When you a club with such a tradition and the quality of players as Liverpool, the value always appreciates because of it potential. Liverpool will perhaps get a buyer at a very good price because of its true worth, but that is not going to wipe away its debts, estimated to be over £300 million nor will it make it more attractive for soccer stars in the absence of Champions league football. It is on the pitch that the real danger of declining fortune will honestly play itself out and it surely will if that fourth spot eludes them. The two teams that are likely to benefit from their misfortune won’t fold their hands in the transfer market, particularly Manchester City with their massive pocket. A European spot for the blues of Manchester is going to fling the vault open with such a brute intensity. It will be near impossible to compete domestically with them
The dangers that face Liverpool are real if the focus is not removed from “share” appreciation to isolating the key areas where mistakes were made and to forge diligent answers to them. A team like Liverpool need to compete among European elite to maintain a value in consonant with what their tradition purports, so it can attract the kind of investment that keeps a club’s debt revolving endlessly. The dynamics of the next transfer window as it unfolds is going to determine how well they cope with this storm. The prospect of losing Steven Gerard and Fernando Torres is still real because the innate hunger for trophies provides a good degree of motivational steam for players to switch clubs. I don’t see that changing.
Wigan stun Arsenal in an incredible comeback
I have hardly had to make a phone call this season just after a football match, but the temptation was too alluring after watching an incredible fight back unfold in just 10 minutes. James, a Chelsea fan still flat from the setback at White Hart lane and uninterested on the Wigan - Arsenal English Premiership game was frozen with shock when I told him that, "if you have never seen a football miracle, don't miss Football First on Sky Sport tonight". His response hinted at a Wigan trashing. The reverse was the case today in spectacular fashion, as a Wigan team undeterred by Arsenal domineering poise and determined to get at least a point overturn a 2 goal deficit.
When Wigan pulled one back on the 80th minute, it appeared more of a consolation, but at 2 - 2 after Titus Bramble flicked the ball past Fabianski, who had characteristically fumbled on the goal line, Arsenal's renewed hope for silverware after Chelsea’s loss to Tottenham was suddenly erased. Just a minute later, Charles N'Zogbia's stinging shot canoed off the right upright into the net to complete an unimaginable comeback and Wenger's disappointment was summed up by his flaccid tone as he sunk into his chair, his nerves dozing off for a while.
This result more or less rules out Arsenal as credible contenders for the Premier league in spite of the ease with which Chelsea and Manchester United have dropped points. This summer is panning out as an untidy one at the Emirates, where board room discussions won’t be far from decisions on how to stem the unending tide of empty trophies.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Real Madrid's town crier sings for Jose Mourinho
In an interview released today, Ronaldo lavish encomiums on the special one. The pick was, "I like him a lot, ...... He is very good coach". Nice words from the Bernabeu, but this signal hints at desperation. Mourinho is hardly the kind of coach at ease with the flamboyant style of Real Madrid. His tactics is dominated by the overwhelming desire to win at all cost, often with resort to negative tactics. While his emphasis on commitment is celebrated and admired, his physical style is unlikely to go well with the fans, particularly when compared to their domestic rivals Barcelona, who are seamlessly stretching the boundaries of the beautiful game.
Ronaldo's statement can also be seen in another light. One of the key players likely to be affected by Mourinho style is Christiano, with exuberant excesses that allow him to outshine his colleagues to the detriment of the team in more than a couple of crucial games this season. Are we previewing the onset of a subtle appeal by the Madrid star to the softer side of his future coach? A plausible possibility, but sadly the special one is too overbearing to take into special cognizance such flirtatious antics.
Friday, April 16, 2010
Half a decade and empty: Will Wenger take the plunge at the Emirates?
Globally acclaimed as one of the top tacticians in the modern game, a submission that has merited the tag Professor, his competence has never been in dispute, but the club’s transfer philosophy relies heavily on grooming young players. It has been disappointing when evaluated against a league that is as rugged as the English premier league. And the test is likely to get sterner in the coming seasons. With Manchester City and Tottenham adding to the mix, even the traditional top-four finish offers no guarantees any more. A wise Professor should be tempted to weigh his options because the longer the wait for trophies, the more the likelihood that his reputation and ability would become the focus.
The reported £30 – 40 million available in the summer maybe too meager to prize top players to the Emirates, apart from Bordeaux’s Marouane Chamakh who already has a pre-contract in place worth a healthy £50,000 a week. The reason for is quite obvious. Liverpool is lined up for sale and with a nice buyer, up to £60 million maybe become available for new talents. Then Manchester City, if they quality for the Champions league and Chelsea with aged players are two teams with deep bent on becoming the pace-setters in the next transfer window. And Real Madrid! The task is Herculean and in the end, convincing Arsene Wenger to stay may turn out to be an excruciating task.
Dented Manchester United stand on Carlito's way
The famous line from the 1993 Hollywood movie Carlito's way, "If you can't see the angles no more, you are in trouble" sounds like an advisory poster hung on a wall at Old Trafford to remind everyone of the bitter taste of selling Tevez to their bitter rivals. The hasty and somewhat acrimonious exit has been thoroughly criticized as a poor decision and Fergy’s undervalued Carlito is set to haunt him at the Manchester Derby on Saturday. An image that readily comes to mind is that of a penitent Ferguson ogling his decision to sell Tevez to city rival, in other to make it justifiable, but mere rhetoric is unlikely to work except United leave the City of Manchester stadium un-scalded or even better, with a win.
In tomorrow’ derby, City's Carlito will be hell bent on show-casing his talent at the expense of the more successful Manchester United. Form is on the side of City and beating United would be a huge victory for Mancini, who is still battling to establish himself as a long term venture in City’s coaching department. But this game is perhaps important for another reason. The league table has taken an unfamiliar look in the last two weeks, with just a place between the two Manchester teams, a fact that drives the point right through the heart of any sceptic still disputing the substance in this Manchester City team. This match is therefore more than a derby or a contest meant to assert bragging rights. It is set to serve as some measure of the true strength of both teams. At least, if City wins, the suggestion that they are now rubbing shoulders with each other on the pitch would no longer sterile, though with endless miles to cover in the trophy cabinet.
Carlos Tevez has indeed been given a defining platform to show his class and prove decisively that every penny in his transfer fees is accounted for in footballing worth. A victory, sweet victory over United adds great density to City’s right to the fourth spot, a position that earns them a ticket in next season's champions league. The headline on Sunday is sure to revolve around Carlito and huddles placed on his way by Manchester United.
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Please I am sick of being told everything about football
Vermaelen adds to an injury ladened season for Arsenal
On this night, what really mattered was the points and Arsenal didn't get it, surrendering all three points at White Hart lane to a Tottenham team propelled by a magnificent strike from the 19 year old Danny Rose from 30 yards and three excellent saves from Gomes. But the introduction of Van Persie did highlight the devastating effect of Arsenal huge injury handicaps. He provided the pass that freed Theo Walcott to drive in the cross, tucked in by Bendtner. And had two excellent efforts thwarted by Gomes, a fine shot after controlling the ball with his chest from just out the six yards box and the second, a curling free-kick destined for the top right corner.
As Van Persie was demonstrating the huge array of talents the gunners have missed from injuries, Vermaelen was substituted just after 19 minutes and could for up to three weeks, capping a busy season for the medics at the Emirates. The suggestion that the "soft" approach to the beautiful game is often an open invitation for the oppsoing teams to rain in the hash tackles may have some credibility when one takes a look at the injury list. For the game against Tottenham, up to nine of the first team players where unavailable, including Fabrecas, Asharvin, Eduardo and Song.
Arsene Wenger may not openly accept that the title chase is over, it is quite impossible to see Arsenal outpacing Chelsea or a fumbling Manchester United who is ruing the absence of Wayne Rooney.
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Lionel Messi offers an invitation that is worth every penny!


The hint has been around all season, but with Lionel Messi's recent public statement that he expects Fabrecas to join Barcelona, the skillful craft of luring Arsenal's talisman to Nou Camp has moved into its final gear. Who won't want to be wanted by Barcelona FC, the best team currently in club football, playing an exhilarating brand of football that aptly fits the dynamics and intuition of Fabrecas.
It is fair to suggest that Arsenal should start searching for a replacement, a difficult venture for even the endowed scout. Granted that the petite Spaniard spent some time with the Catalans as a youth player, an earlier comment credited to the indomitable Xavi, that Fabrecas has Barca DNA in his blood, was the start of a process that has more or less gotten to the final stages. This unfolding saga also highlights the increasing resort to indirect means in courting soccer players, as the rules against pouching has tighten.
Can Wenger and the board Czars fend off this priceless invitation from the best player on the planet? My guess is a bold NO. Fabrecas' performance this season has been iconic and filled with more than a handful of determined display. While this can signify a drive to do well for his beloved team, it can easily indicate a farewell performance on a stage that has hoisted his skills for the world to see. It may be time up at the Emirates and time to check out.
The prospect of a Cesc plying his trade in Barca's midfield is appetizing for the fans of the beautiful game. If it does happen, we are in for a fascinating adventure into a new frontier in attacking football. The world is surely watching.
Arsenal's Robin Van Persie Is Back!
Nice to hear that some bite is coming back to Arsenal's attack. With Eduardo and Van Persie tended by the docs, the Gunner's beautiful game lacked that incisive taint within the box. Bendtner's weaknesses were grossly exposed at Nou Camp.
A win against their London rivals tomorrow keeps the title on ice.
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Bloodied Zhikov propels Chelsea to a nervy win over Bolton

Chelsea 1 Bolton 0 [Tue 13, Apr '10]: In the end, all that mattered was the three points, but Fergy's mind games almost paid off. Nervy moments were plentiful plus a couple of excellent penalty appeals. Bolton was there to claim a scalp. They were definitely motivated to get something out of the Bridge and could easily have if their chances were made to count.
Anelka may have put the ball between the post for the lone goal, but the night belonged to the Russian, Zhikov. A neat side-ways pass to the left, just out the 18 yard box, freed Drogba who struck a sweet cross, meant emphatically by Anelka's hairless scalp. But the Russian was exemplary in his game. His display tonight was exceptional, a bloodied first class performance filled with forward runs, tenacity and pure grit. And the fans, who can now see two trophies within range, applauded everyone of his moves as a befitting gratitude.
Chelsea's mid-field was uncharacteristically flat and the lads in the middle of the pitch clearly have to be more imaginative against Tottenham to avoid a slippery patch next weekend. As for which team wins the English league between Chelsea, Manchester United and Arsenal, a cliffhanger is a more likely prospect.Monday, April 12, 2010
A football prof on a knife edge with his beautiful game

As Arsenal FC file out from the dugout at White Hart lane on Wednesday, the terse stroll across the short stretch of rug leading onto the soccer pitch must surely harbor the aura of a season about to be added onto the record books as another trophy-less endeavor. Worse still, Arsene Wenger, nick-named the Professor, not for his frame and mien but for this tactical astuteness, must be living in a rarefied edge of discomfort that encircles a soccer intellect who finds his knowledge cruelly ridiculed by a persistent failings on the football pitch. Though not in the quality of play, but rather in the share absence of the brute needed to excel in the most keenly followed soccer league in the world.
In Arsenal, a team’s philosophy is unfairly waged against a football style that emphasizes a more direct, fast paced and often underlined by the need to win “at all cost”, quite brutal in the case of Allerdyce’s former Bolton and to some extent, his present Blackburn. A soccer league where self expression is denied talented players, individual artistry is easily perceived as leisurely disregard for team discipline. A player holding on to the ball for long periods disrupts the bustling pace of the team. In spite of the successes of English football teams in recent years, it is still difficult to see beyond the league’s bias for physical and aggressive play, which has unsurprisingly curbed the flair in talented Brazilian imports like Anderson for Manchester United and Liverpool’s Lucas.
How does a Professor rewrite his lecture notes? Difficult to contemplate in most cases, but at the London derby with Tottenham, anything short of three points is bound to elicit a form of inquest from the fans that have cherished the beautiful game at the Emirates but would want some silver ware to embellish it. Wenger appears to be left with limited options. Abandoning the beautiful is out of it, because it has come to symbolize the mental sketch of the gunners. A strategy that may solve the dilemma is to have more experienced players in the back half of his team to serve as a bulwark against the inherent tactical frailty of trying to do too much with the ball when opponents are broadly set to deny you space.
Nevertheless, the huddle against Spurs would be steep. A combative prospect is in store because Tottenham have an excellent chance of upsetting Manchester City for the fourth champions’ league spot, with the Manchester derby to come on Saturday.
A simple reason men fail ladies, honestly!

The appalling rate of relationship dissatisfaction is negating myths previously not touched by suggestions of fallibility, particularly the saying that human friendship ages like wine or at least it gets better with time. This measurable and enormous problem with traditional mating skills, attraction and romance is best illustrated by the predominance of internet dating sites. In a useful context, nature abhors a vacuum and so these smart guys appear to have devised intelligent scales to test individuals and match their profiles in a dream-like environment where the actors can snap out at the slightest hint of derailment.
But why do men fail women? Traditionally and across cultures, guys tend to be dominant and occupy high-status seats which command a great deal of power and authority. These are also the traits that attract women who instinctively seek shelter where comfort and protection for themselves and their children is paramount. On the other hand women are typically seen as subordinate and occupy lower-status roles. As a result, in most societies, men feel valued because of this obvious higher premium on their contribution. By extension, women are portrayed as devalued. This tiny knot represents the gray area that appears to explain the basis for a lot of dissatisfaction.
It is well known in psychology that people are more successful at accepting the perspective of friend who is perceived to be similar to them rather than of a partner with a drastically different experience or value. Devalued members of a group, as in situations of poverty and eating disorders are often noted to show high mood and personal self-esteem after contact with other seemingly stigmatized individuals. This is attributed to the empathy they show towards each other as result of their shared experience. In some sense, nature inherently creates a predictable mismatch in the initial drive as we seek out partners.
It does not in any way explain all, but give a useful insight into our behavior. There are other potential factors that influence significantly the expression of human behavior. Critically, one’s personality such as consciousness can regulate how individuals process their various relationships but it is obvious that the when partners are similar in terms of the value scheme, the better the zeal to accept each other’s perspective.